| 摘要: |
| 运用文献资料、录像观察和数理统计法，通过分析优秀男子乒乓球单打比赛相关数据，挖掘出五项战术指标制胜因素，并按照对比赛结果影响的重要性，从大到小将指标依次排序，分别为主动相持战术、接发球战术、发球抢攻战术、发球战术、接发球连续抢攻战术。通过判别分析法建立起预测比赛结果的函数方程，其准确率可以达到90%以上，可以为训练与比赛提供相关指导，也丰富了该领域研究的新思路。 |
| 关键词: 乒乓球 男子单打 技战术 预测 影响 指标 |
| DOI： |
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| 基金项目: |
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| Study on Prediction Equation of Outstanding Men’s Table Tennis Singles Match |
| ZHAO Xi-ying |
| (School of Physical Education, Nanjing Xiaozhuang University) |
| Abstract: |
| By literature review, video observation and mathematical statistics methods, through the analysis of related data of outstanding men’s singles table tennis games, five tactical indicators of winning factors are explored and discussed. In accordance with the importance of the impact on the game results from the largest to the smallest, the indicators are sorted out, namely, active deadlocked tactics, receive tactics, attack after service tactics, serving tactics, and consecutive attack after receive tactics. The discriminant analysis method is used to establish the function equation for predicting the results of the competition. The accuracy of the formula can reach to over 90%. It can provide guidance for training and competition, and also enrich new ideas for research in this field. |
| Key words: table tennis men’s singles techniques and tactics predict impact indicators |
